EVENT: Statistics Seminar

Coherence is the declared hallmark of Bayesian inference. By coherence it is meant here a strict adherence to the calculus of probability. But to achieve coherence a Bayesian is required to undergo mood swings from the indicative to the irrealis, and back to the indicative. The purpose of this talk is to make the above matter transparent by an examination of what is known as "turning the Bayesian crank".

In this expository talk, we leave it to the judgement of the reader as to whether coherence has been achieved in the sense claimed.